TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037800
Played Aug 29Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119118119––
Pavlo Melnichuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Pavlo Melnichuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 64.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 1–1 Pavlo Melnichuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 949 vs Melnichuk 842
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 0% vs Melnichuk 40%
Melnichuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 20% vs Melnichuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -5 · Melnichuk -2
Chyzh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.40 / Melnichuk 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Chyzh)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037800
Chyzh1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 30 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Melnichuk2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 30 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChyzh1wins
AwayMelnichuk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChyzhMelnichukC − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.036.5+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhMelnichukBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 200 vs 97 / 17839.5%54.5%79 / 200 vs 97 / 178Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.40/Melnichuk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 11 · 06:25P. Chyzh—811491P. Melnichuk—11411113
WAug 10 · 18:25P. Chyzh—111111113P. Melnichuk—613981
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
P. Melnichuk10
WAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113WAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.17111011113P. Melnichuk4.50812861WAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113WAug 29 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk2.10118771P. Melnichuk1.6771111113LAug 29 · 17:25P. Melnichuk2.0010670O. Bolnyh1.73121183LAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771LAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171WAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.