TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043900
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012118116––
Pavlo Melnichuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Pavlo Melnichuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 85.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 12–2 Pavlo Melnichuk Pavlo Melnichuk has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Ivanytskyi
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1039 vs Melnichuk 890
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 100% vs Melnichuk 40%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 70% vs Melnichuk 40%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi +5 · Melnichuk +2
Ivanytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnichuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.17 / Melnichuk 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13043900
Ivanytskyi1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 71 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it86% 55 of 64
Melnichuk4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi8wins
AwayMelnichuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi87.5%7 of 8
AwayMelnichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi8Melnichuk2n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Ivanytskyi6Melnichuk4n = 10Ivanytskyi took 6 of 10
S3Ivanytskyi7Melnichuk3n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S4Ivanytskyi5Melnichuk1n = 6Ivanytskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiMelnichukI − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.930.8+9.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiMelnichukBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 159 vs 102 / 18660.4%54.8%96 / 159 vs 102 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.17/Melnichuk 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi—111011113P. Melnichuk—812861
WAug 27 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi—1111113P. Melnichuk—6370
LAug 26 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi—6111191P. Melnichuk—11134113
WAug 11 · 09:55V. Ivanytskyi—1111113P. Melnichuk—6660
WAug 10 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi—1111113P. Melnichuk—9960
WJul 23 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi—111111113P. Melnichuk—813271
WJul 22 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi—811511113P. Melnichuk—11011692
WJun 25 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi—11139113P. Melnichuk—9111171
LJun 24 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi—1110711142P. Melnichuk—712118163
WJun 9 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi—1111113P. Melnichuk—6660
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930
P. Melnichuk10
WAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113WAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113WAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113WAug 29 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk2.10118771P. Melnichuk1.6771111113LAug 29 · 17:25P. Melnichuk2.0010670O. Bolnyh1.73121183LAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771LAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171WAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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