TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037571
Played Aug 29Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811711711––
Pavlo Melnichuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Melnichuk to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Pavlo Melnichuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavlo Melnichuk at 59.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 11–16 Pavlo Melnichuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Melnichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Melnichuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 853 vs Melnichuk 815
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Melnichuk 20%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Melnichuk 20%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Melnichuk -4
Melnichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Melnichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.10 / Melnichuk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Melnichuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037571
Sydorchuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Melnichuk1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayMelnichuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMelnichuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk57.1%4 of 7
AwayMelnichuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk7Melnichuk3n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk6Melnichuk4n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Sydorchuk5Melnichuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorchuk2Melnichuk7n = 9Melnichuk took 7 of 9
S5Sydorchuk1Melnichuk3n = 4Melnichuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukMelnichukS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.7+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukMelnichukBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 313 vs 97 / 18042.5%53.9%133 / 313 vs 97 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnichukSydorchuk 2.10/Melnichuk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Melnichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melnichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk—118116113P. Melnichuk—71151162
LAug 26 · 11:55V. Sydorchuk—9101141P. Melnichuk—11129113
LAug 18 · 05:55V. Sydorchuk—119981P. Melnichuk—91111113
WAug 17 · 16:25V. Sydorchuk—1111113P. Melnichuk—5870
LAug 7 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk—11116692P. Melnichuk—761111113
LAug 6 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk—8118111P. Melnichuk—11811133
WAug 5 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk—11117113P. Melnichuk—161191
LJul 10 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk—11119882P. Melnichuk—591111113
WJul 9 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk—11211113P. Melnichuk—911951
LJul 2 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk—91111542P. Melnichuk—114811113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
P. Melnichuk10
WAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113WAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.17111011113P. Melnichuk4.50812861WAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 17:25P. Melnichuk2.0010670O. Bolnyh1.73121183LAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771LAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171WAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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