TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054619
Played Sep 1Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811811––––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Sydorchuk to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 62 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Sydorchuk at 83.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moroz 5–14 Viktor Sydorchuk Vasyl Moroz has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moroz 457 vs Sydorchuk 741
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 284 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 20% vs Sydorchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 20% vs Sydorchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -3 · Sydorchuk -2
Moroz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 4.50 / Sydorchuk 1.17
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13054619
Moroz4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Sydorchuk1.17
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoroz1wins
AwaySydorchuk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMorozn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moroz1Sydorchuk9n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S2Moroz6Sydorchuk4n = 10Moroz took 6 of 10
S3Moroz2Sydorchuk8n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S4Moroz1Sydorchuk6n = 7Sydorchuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMorozSydorchukM − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.5−7.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 102 vs 135 / 32330.4%41.8%31 / 102 vs 135 / 323Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukMoroz 4.50/Sydorchuk 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.8%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz—5980V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LAug 6 · 05:55V. Moroz—811851V. Sydorchuk—11911113
LAug 5 · 16:55V. Moroz—611581V. Sydorchuk—11811113
LJul 9 · 14:55V. Moroz—1211751V. Sydorchuk—14411113
LJul 2 · 07:25V. Moroz—129361V. Sydorchuk—101111113
WJul 1 · 16:55V. Moroz—101111143V. Sydorchuk—1298121
LJun 19 · 11:25V. Moroz—9680V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJun 18 · 14:25V. Moroz—611771V. Sydorchuk—11611113
LJun 12 · 05:55V. Moroz—7980V. Sydorchuk—1111113
LJun 3 · 08:55V. Moroz—81111492V. Sydorchuk—119811113
V. Moroz10
LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk1.282111110113V. Moroz3.5011881282LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113WAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach2.105111181V. Moroz1.6711713113LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113LAug 6 · 10:25V. Moroz1.3611950O. Kulbach3.001311113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113WAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113
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