TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12374668
Played Aug 7Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
2111181181012118
Vasyl Moroz
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 83.3% is still 83.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
83.3%
83.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 83.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 15–4 Vasyl Moroz Vasyl Moroz has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Senyk
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 607 vs Moroz 490
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Moroz 20%
Senyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 70% vs Moroz 10%
Senyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +2 · Moroz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.28 / Moroz 3.50
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Senyk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12374668
Senyk1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 61 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Moroz3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 21 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk7wins
AwayMoroz3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk66.7%6 of 9
AwayMorozn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk9Moroz1n = 10Senyk took 9 of 10
S2Senyk5Moroz5n = 10split evenly
S3Senyk7Moroz3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Senyk4Moroz4n = 8split evenly
S5Senyk2Moroz3n = 5Moroz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykMorozS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.039.5+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 325 vs 30 / 9640.3%31.3%131 / 325 vs 30 / 96Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.933.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.28/Moroz 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.1%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 08:55M. Senyk—1111113V. Moroz—6480
WAug 5 · 17:55M. Senyk—11913133V. Moroz—81111111
LJul 9 · 17:55M. Senyk—11711872V. Moroz—911711113
WJul 2 · 08:55M. Senyk—71111113V. Moroz—116791
WJul 1 · 15:55M. Senyk—11118123V. Moroz—5711101
LJun 19 · 07:55M. Senyk—111011572V. Moroz—812711113
LJun 18 · 16:55M. Senyk—111111742V. Moroz—713811113
WJun 12 · 04:55M. Senyk—141188113V. Moroz—128111192
WJun 3 · 07:25M. Senyk—1211113V. Moroz—10680
WJun 2 · 14:55M. Senyk—1171111113V. Moroz—71113882
M. Senyk10
WSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143LSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181LSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760WSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk6.506950Y. Shcherbak1.101111113
V. Moroz10
LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113WAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach2.105111181V. Moroz1.6711713113LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113LAug 6 · 10:25V. Moroz1.3611950O. Kulbach3.001311113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.