TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054597
Played Sep 1Finished
Vasyl Moroz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119117811116
Andrii Lanchut
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moroz above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lanchut
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Moroz 478 vs Lanchut 334
Moroz
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moroz 20% vs Lanchut 0%
Moroz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moroz 10% vs Lanchut 0%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moroz -3 · Lanchut -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moroz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoroz 1.83 / Lanchut 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moroz)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13054597
Moroz1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Lanchut1.83
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorozLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 98 vs 6 / 7530.6%8%30 / 98 vs 6 / 75Avg sets wonper match1.50.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.929.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorozMoroz 1.83/Lanchut 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moroz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moroz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Moroz10
LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk1.282111110113V. Moroz3.5011881282LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113WAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach2.105111181V. Moroz1.6711713113LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113LAug 6 · 10:25V. Moroz1.3611950O. Kulbach3.001311113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
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