TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054583
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210119611611116
Vasyl Moroz
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 64.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 5–9 Vasyl Moroz Oleksii Kulbach has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moroz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Moroz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 377 vs Moroz 452
Moroz
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 0% vs Moroz 40%
Moroz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 10% vs Moroz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -5 · Moroz +1
Kulbach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Moroz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moroz form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 2.63 / Moroz 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Moroz)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13054583
Kulbach2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog14% won 13 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Moroz1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach2wins
AwayMoroz8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoroz leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach66.7%2 of 3
AwayMoroz100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach3Moroz7n = 10Moroz took 7 of 10
S2Kulbach6Moroz4n = 10Kulbach took 6 of 10
S3Kulbach2Moroz8n = 10Moroz took 8 of 10
S4Kulbach1Moroz5n = 6Moroz took 5 of 6
S5Kulbach1Moroz2n = 3Moroz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachMorozK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.839.7−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 189 vs 31 / 10322.2%30.1%42 / 189 vs 31 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.31.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.533.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorozKulbach 2.63/Moroz 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Moroz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach—121166113V. Moroz—109111162
LAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach—5111181V. Moroz—11713113
WAug 6 · 10:25O. Kulbach—1311113V. Moroz—11950
LJul 9 · 16:25O. Kulbach—811941V. Moroz—11111113
LJul 1 · 17:55O. Kulbach—111225112V. Moroz—8101111133
LJun 19 · 04:55O. Kulbach—981171V. Moroz—11113113
LJun 18 · 17:55O. Kulbach—5980V. Moroz—1111113
LJun 12 · 07:55O. Kulbach—121181682V. Moroz—1481114113
LJun 2 · 12:55O. Kulbach—111040V. Moroz—1312113
LMay 2 · 10:25O. Kulbach—9850V. Moroz—1111113
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
V. Moroz10
LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk1.282111110113V. Moroz3.5011881282LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113WAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach2.105111181V. Moroz1.6711713113LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113LAug 6 · 10:25V. Moroz1.3611950O. Kulbach3.001311113
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