TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12374773
Played Aug 7Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111171113811––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moroz to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vasyl Moroz at 59.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 4–9 Vasyl Moroz Oleksii Kulbach has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Moroz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Moroz
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 357 vs Moroz 478
Moroz
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Moroz 0%
Kulbach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 10% vs Moroz 10%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -1 · Moroz -5
Moroz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Moroz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moroz form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 2.10 / Moroz 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Moroz)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12374773
Kulbach2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog13% won 11 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back7% 4 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Moroz1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite64% won 7 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach1wins
AwayMoroz9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoroz leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMoroz100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach2Moroz8n = 10Moroz took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach5Moroz5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulbach3Moroz7n = 10Moroz took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach2Moroz4n = 6Moroz took 4 of 6
S5Kulbach0Moroz3n = 3Moroz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachMorozK − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.339.5−5.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 194 vs 30 / 9820.6%30.6%40 / 194 vs 30 / 98Avg sets wonper match1.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match32.833.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorozKulbach 2.10/Moroz 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Moroz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moroz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 06:55O. Kulbach—5111181V. Moroz—11713113
WAug 6 · 10:25O. Kulbach—1311113V. Moroz—11950
LJul 9 · 16:25O. Kulbach—811941V. Moroz—11111113
LJul 1 · 17:55O. Kulbach—111225112V. Moroz—8101111133
LJun 19 · 04:55O. Kulbach—981171V. Moroz—11113113
LJun 18 · 17:55O. Kulbach—5980V. Moroz—1111113
LJun 12 · 07:55O. Kulbach—121181682V. Moroz—1481114113
LJun 2 · 12:55O. Kulbach—111040V. Moroz—1312113
LMay 2 · 10:25O. Kulbach—9850V. Moroz—1111113
LMay 1 · 14:55O. Kulbach—410111152V. Moroz—111229113
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113
V. Moroz10
LSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540LSep 1 · 08:05V. Moroz3.40991461M. Senyk1.30111112113LSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162WSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 7 · 10:55V. Moroz4.004660P. Melnichuk1.221111113LAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk1.282111110113V. Moroz3.5011881282LAug 7 · 07:55V. Moroz4.5012117772O. Bolnyh1.171061111113LAug 7 · 05:25V. Moroz3.755980V. Sydorchuk1.251111113LAug 6 · 10:25V. Moroz1.3611950O. Kulbach3.001311113
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