TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079124
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Lanchut
Home
8.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811119711––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 89.9% is still 89.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
89.9%
89.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lanchut above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 89.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lanchut 0–5 Oleksandr Bolnyh Andrii Lanchut has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Bolnyh
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lanchut 368 vs Bolnyh 783
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 415 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lanchut 40% vs Bolnyh 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lanchut 20% vs Bolnyh 40%
Bolnyh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lanchut +2 · Bolnyh +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Bolnyh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanchut 8.00 / Bolnyh 1.06
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Bolnyh)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079124
Lanchut8.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog10% won 3 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Bolnyh1.06
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLanchut0wins
AwayBolnyh5wins
Bolnyh leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanchutn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBolnyh100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lanchut0Bolnyh5n = 5Bolnyh took 5 of 5
S2Lanchut1Bolnyh4n = 5Bolnyh took 4 of 5
S3Lanchut0Bolnyh5n = 5Bolnyh took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away480%
These 5 meetings
MetricLanchutBolnyhL − BBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match24.436.2−11.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLanchutBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 80 vs 78 / 17310%45.1%8 / 80 vs 78 / 173Avg sets wonper match0.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match29.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhLanchut 8.00/Bolnyh 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.9%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 13 · 09:55A. Lanchut—8121441O. Bolnyh—111016113
LAug 12 · 13:55A. Lanchut—7860O. Bolnyh—1111113
LJul 18 · 04:25A. Lanchut—4930O. Bolnyh—1111113
LJul 17 · 16:55A. Lanchut—10780O. Bolnyh—1211113
LJul 10 · 11:25A. Lanchut—8950O. Bolnyh—1111113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.