TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043905
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911711––––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 83.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 1–5 Viktor Ivanytskyi Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Ivanytskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 783 vs Ivanytskyi 1039
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 20% vs Ivanytskyi 100%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 20% vs Ivanytskyi 70%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh -3 · Ivanytskyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 4.50 / Ivanytskyi 1.17
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043905
Bolnyh4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Ivanytskyi1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 71 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it86% 55 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBolnyh1wins
AwayIvanytskyi5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBolnyhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanytskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bolnyh2Ivanytskyi4n = 6Ivanytskyi took 4 of 6
S2Bolnyh2Ivanytskyi4n = 6Ivanytskyi took 4 of 6
S3Bolnyh1Ivanytskyi5n = 6Ivanytskyi took 5 of 6
S4Bolnyh0Ivanytskyi4n = 4Ivanytskyi took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricBolnyhIvanytskyiB − IBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match31.238.8−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 173 vs 96 / 15945.1%60.4%78 / 173 vs 96 / 159Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiBolnyh 4.50/Ivanytskyi 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.8%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh—6970V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LAug 27 · 09:55O. Bolnyh—811241V. Ivanytskyi—11511113
WAug 26 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—911123113V. Ivanytskyi—115101172
LApr 25 · 10:25O. Bolnyh—7990V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LApr 24 · 18:55O. Bolnyh—138551V. Ivanytskyi—111111113
LApr 11 · 07:55O. Bolnyh—1110891V. Ivanytskyi—71211113
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930
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