TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043843
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9116111311118811
Pavlo Melnichuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePavlo Melnichuk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Pavlo Melnichuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Pavlo Melnichuk at 54.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 11–17 Pavlo Melnichuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Melnichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Melnichuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 814 vs Melnichuk 872
Melnichuk
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Melnichuk 80%
Melnichuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Melnichuk 50%
Melnichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Melnichuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Melnichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnichuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.25 / Melnichuk 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Melnichuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13043843
Sydorchuk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog33% won 49 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Melnichuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 68 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayMelnichuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelnichuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk50%4 of 8
AwayMelnichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk8Melnichuk2n = 10Sydorchuk took 8 of 10
S2Sydorchuk5Melnichuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Sydorchuk4Melnichuk6n = 10Melnichuk took 6 of 10
S4Sydorchuk2Melnichuk7n = 9Melnichuk took 7 of 9
S5Sydorchuk1Melnichuk2n = 3Melnichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukMelnichukS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.2+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukMelnichukBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 318 vs 101 / 18542.1%54.6%134 / 318 vs 101 / 185Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnichukSydorchuk 2.25/Melnichuk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Melnichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melnichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk—118771P. Melnichuk—71111113
WAug 27 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk—118116113P. Melnichuk—71151162
LAug 26 · 11:55V. Sydorchuk—9101141P. Melnichuk—11129113
LAug 18 · 05:55V. Sydorchuk—119981P. Melnichuk—91111113
WAug 17 · 16:25V. Sydorchuk—1111113P. Melnichuk—5870
LAug 7 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk—11116692P. Melnichuk—761111113
LAug 6 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk—8118111P. Melnichuk—11811133
WAug 5 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk—11117113P. Melnichuk—161191
LJul 10 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk—11119882P. Melnichuk—591111113
WJul 9 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk—11211113P. Melnichuk—911951
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662
P. Melnichuk10
WAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.17111011113P. Melnichuk4.50812861WAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113WAug 29 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk2.10118771P. Melnichuk1.6771111113LAug 29 · 17:25P. Melnichuk2.0010670O. Bolnyh1.73121183LAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771LAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171WAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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