TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467175
Played Aug 21Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211117911611––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Martynenko to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Martynenko at 75.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 1–1 Viktor Sydorchuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Martynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 917 vs Sydorchuk 730
Martynenko
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 60% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Martynenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 50% vs Sydorchuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko +1 · Sydorchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Martynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 1.28 / Sydorchuk 3.50
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Martynenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467175
Martynenko1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite40% won 27 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Sydorchuk3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartynenko1wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukM − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.037.0−5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 341 vs 124 / 29144.3%42.6%151 / 341 vs 124 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartynenkoMartynenko 1.28/Sydorchuk 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.1%
Martynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 18 · 04:55O. Martynenko—21111432V. Sydorchuk—118911113
WAug 17 · 11:55O. Martynenko—1111113V. Sydorchuk—9780
O. Martynenko10
LAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 22 · 04:25O. Martynenko3.757880V. Ivanytskyi1.251111113LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153LAug 21 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak1.9161111113O. Martynenko1.80116751WAug 21 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.73815851O. Martynenko2.00111311113LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113LAug 18 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.251111113O. Martynenko1.578990
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113
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