TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362804
Played Aug 5Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11710124111012––
Roman Bihun
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Valerii Hel at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 1–1 Roman Bihun Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:07What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bihun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hel 1349 vs Bihun 1419
Bihun
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 60% vs Bihun 80%
Bihun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 70% vs Bihun 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel +1 · Bihun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bihun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 2.00 / Bihun 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bihun)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12362804
Hel2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 35 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Bihun1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 10 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHel1wins
AwayBihun1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHelBihunH − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.027.5−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 206 vs 53 / 12458.3%42.7%120 / 206 vs 53 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.734.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BihunHel 2.00/Bihun 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bihun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 24 · 09:25V. Hel—7390R. Bihun—1111113
WJun 4 · 06:55V. Hel—1113113R. Bihun—41170
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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