TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362483
Played Aug 5Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117117118––
Valerii Hel
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Valerii Hel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Valerii Hel at 71.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 9–9 Valerii Hel Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1281 vs Hel 1296
Hel
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 20% vs Hel 60%
Hel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 20% vs Hel 70%
Hel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk -4 · Hel -1
Didyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 2.63 / Hel 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Hel)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362483
Didyk2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 50 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Hel1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk4wins
AwayHel6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHel75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk2Hel8n = 10Hel took 8 of 10
S2Didyk3Hel7n = 10Hel took 7 of 10
S3Didyk5Hel5n = 10split evenly
S4Didyk4Hel1n = 5Didyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykHelD − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.8−1.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykHelBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 465 vs 121 / 21245.8%57.1%213 / 465 vs 121 / 212Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelDidyk 2.63/Hel 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 15:25A. Didyk—7780V. Hel—1111113
WAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk—61111113V. Hel—117781
LAug 4 · 11:55A. Didyk—7960V. Hel—1111113
LJul 21 · 15:55A. Didyk—991111102V. Hel—111166123
LJun 23 · 11:55A. Didyk—8030V. Hel—1111113
WJun 17 · 09:25A. Didyk—1113911113V. Hel—51511842
LJun 16 · 15:55A. Didyk—8560V. Hel—1111113
WJun 10 · 04:25A. Didyk—131111113V. Hel—155851
LJun 9 · 15:55A. Didyk—7101151V. Hel—11128113
WMay 29 · 05:55A. Didyk—1111113V. Hel—8650
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
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