TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367485
Played Aug 6Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711911811––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Hel at 58.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 8–8 Serhii Kryvoshyi Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:25What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1340 vs Kryvoshyi 1359
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 40% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 60% vs Kryvoshyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel -1 · Kryvoshyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 1.57 / Kryvoshyi 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hel)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367485
Hel1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Kryvoshyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 29 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel7wins
AwayKryvoshyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHel leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel80%4 of 5
AwayKryvoshyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel5Kryvoshyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Hel5Kryvoshyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Hel8Kryvoshyi2n = 10Hel took 8 of 10
S4Hel6Kryvoshyi2n = 8Hel took 6 of 8
S5Hel2Kryvoshyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelKryvoshyiH − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.137.6+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 207 vs 267 / 56858%47%120 / 207 vs 267 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelHel 1.57/Kryvoshyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 09:25V. Hel—61114113S. Kryvoshyi—1141281
LAug 4 · 17:25V. Hel—115121072S. Kryvoshyi—1111012113
WJul 29 · 10:55V. Hel—111211113S. Kryvoshyi—914891
LJul 28 · 17:25V. Hel—111181182S. Kryvoshyi—134112113
WJul 21 · 11:55V. Hel—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—9760
WJul 15 · 08:55V. Hel—771112113S. Kryvoshyi—111181042
WMay 28 · 07:55V. Hel—1211113S. Kryvoshyi—10460
LMay 21 · 10:55V. Hel—681151S. Kryvoshyi—11119113
WMay 6 · 04:25V. Hel—111112113S. Kryvoshyi—891491
WMay 5 · 11:55V. Hel—5111111123S. Kryvoshyi—111376102
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113
Upcoming Matches
V. Hel
Nothing scheduled
S. Kryvoshyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.