TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367225
Played Aug 6Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111171513118––
Valerii Hel
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 85.4% is still 85.4%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
85.4%
85.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Valerii Hel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 84 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Valerii Hel at 85.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 3–9 Valerii Hel Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Hel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Hel
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1260 vs Hel 1318
Hel
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 0% vs Hel 40%
Hel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Hel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -5 · Hel +1
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hel form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 4.50 / Hel 1.17
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Hel)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367225
Maslovskyi4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 67 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Hel1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayHel7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHel leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi25%1 of 4
AwayHel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi4Hel6n = 10Hel took 6 of 10
S2Maslovskyi1Hel9n = 10Hel took 9 of 10
S3Maslovskyi2Hel8n = 10Hel took 8 of 10
S4Maslovskyi3Hel3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiHelM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.5−6.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiHelBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 851 vs 121 / 21152.4%57.4%446 / 851 vs 121 / 211Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelMaslovskyi 4.50/Hel 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
90.4%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—81115113V. Hel—1171381
LJun 14 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—5660V. Hel—1111113
LApr 17 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—9950V. Hel—1111113
LApr 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—74110V. Hel—1111133
LApr 3 · 04:55O. Maslovskyi—97110V. Hel—1111133
LApr 2 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—122771V. Hel—101111113
WMar 12 · 10:25O. Maslovskyi—691111113V. Hel—11115992
LMar 11 · 17:25O. Maslovskyi—1171281V. Hel—91114113
LFeb 14 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi—11131051V. Hel—71512113
WJan 29 · 10:25O. Maslovskyi—159813113V. Hel—1311111162
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.