TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367307
Played Aug 6Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Andriy Didyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Valerii Hel at 65.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 8–9 Andriy Didyk Valerii Hel has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1320 vs Didyk 1288
Hel
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 20% vs Didyk 80%
Didyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 40% vs Didyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel -3 · Didyk +2
Hel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 1.57 / Didyk 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hel)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367307
Hel1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Didyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 49 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel6wins
AwayDidyk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel71.4%5 of 7
AwayDidyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel7Didyk3n = 10Hel took 7 of 10
S2Hel7Didyk3n = 10Hel took 7 of 10
S3Hel5Didyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Hel2Didyk4n = 6Didyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelDidykH − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.834.3+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 209 vs 215 / 46657.4%46.1%120 / 209 vs 215 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelHel 1.57/Didyk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 07:25V. Hel—117781A. Didyk—61111113
WAug 4 · 11:55V. Hel—1111113A. Didyk—7960
WJul 21 · 15:55V. Hel—111166123A. Didyk—991111102
WJun 23 · 11:55V. Hel—1111113A. Didyk—8030
LJun 17 · 09:25V. Hel—51511842A. Didyk—1113911113
WJun 16 · 15:55V. Hel—1111113A. Didyk—8560
LJun 10 · 04:25V. Hel—155851A. Didyk—131111113
WJun 9 · 15:55V. Hel—11128113A. Didyk—7101151
LMay 29 · 05:55V. Hel—8650A. Didyk—1111113
WMay 28 · 08:55V. Hel—101111113A. Didyk—129861
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781
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