TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362514
Played Aug 5Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111113––––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 64 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 8–10 Myhailo Styranets Valerii Hel has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Styranets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Styranets
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1296 vs Styranets 1410
Styranets
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 80% vs Styranets 40%
Hel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 80% vs Styranets 30%
Hel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel +2 · Styranets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Styranets) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Styranets form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 2.00 / Styranets 1.73
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Styranets)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362514
Hel2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Styranets1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 87 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 70 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel3wins
AwayStyranets7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStyranets leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel60%3 of 5
AwayStyranets100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hel3Styranets7n = 10Styranets took 7 of 10
S3Hel5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S4Hel3Styranets4n = 7Styranets took 4 of 7
S5Hel2Styranets4n = 6Styranets took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelStyranetsH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.2−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 212 vs 128 / 25057.1%51.2%121 / 212 vs 128 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsHel 2.00/Styranets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Styranets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel—6111251M. Styranets—11514113
LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel—99110M. Styranets—1111133
LJul 29 · 07:55V. Hel—81181142M. Styranets—118115113
LJul 28 · 15:55V. Hel—119117112M. Styranets—511411133
LJul 15 · 05:55V. Hel—11771172M. Styranets—611115113
WJul 9 · 11:25V. Hel—1171110113M. Styranets—81151252
WJun 24 · 11:25V. Hel—116129113M. Styranets—311101192
LJun 23 · 17:25V. Hel—9790M. Styranets—1111113
LJun 17 · 11:25V. Hel—48111542M. Styranets—1111713113
WJun 16 · 17:25V. Hel—1111133M. Styranets—73110
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.