TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451398
Played Aug 18Finished
Vsevolod Kheresko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411119118112––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 79.3% is still 79.3%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
79.3%
79.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 67 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 79.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vsevolod Kheresko 0–2 Myhailo Styranets Vsevolod Kheresko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Styranets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kheresko 1201 vs Styranets 1413
Styranets
Wrong
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kheresko 40% vs Styranets 80%
Styranets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kheresko 30% vs Styranets 80%
Styranets
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kheresko -3 · Styranets +1
Kheresko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Styranets) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKheresko 3.75 / Styranets 1.25
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Styranets)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451398
Kheresko3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Styranets1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 87 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 70 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKheresko0wins
AwayStyranets2wins
Styranets leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKhereskoStyranetsK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.040.5−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhereskoStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 373 vs 130 / 25350.7%51.4%189 / 373 vs 130 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsKheresko 3.75/Styranets 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 9 · 06:25V. Kheresko—5611111M. Styranets—11115133
LJul 8 · 09:55V. Kheresko—1011771M. Styranets—12711113
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113WAug 5 · 10:55O. Melnik3.007930M. Styranets1.361111113
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