TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451433
Played Aug 18Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911711411––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 81.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 5–14 Myhailo Styranets Andriy Didyk has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Styranets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Styranets
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1300 vs Styranets 1413
Styranets
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 60% vs Styranets 80%
Styranets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 70% vs Styranets 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +3 · Styranets -1
Didyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Styranets) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 3.50 / Styranets 1.28
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Styranets)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451433
Didyk3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 50 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Styranets1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 87 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 70 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk2wins
AwayStyranets8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStyranets leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk25%1 of 4
AwayStyranets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk4Styranets6n = 10Styranets took 6 of 10
S2Didyk1Styranets9n = 10Styranets took 9 of 10
S3Didyk5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S4Didyk3Styranets4n = 7Styranets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykStyranetsD − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.538.9−9.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 455 vs 130 / 25346.2%51.4%210 / 455 vs 130 / 253Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsDidyk 3.50/Styranets 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.1%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Styranets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk—119741M. Styranets—71111113
LAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk—135381M. Styranets—111111113
LAug 5 · 04:25A. Didyk—741131M. Styranets—11119113
LJul 8 · 04:25A. Didyk—14211752M. Styranets—1211211113
LJul 7 · 17:25A. Didyk—4700M. Styranets—1111113
WJun 23 · 13:25A. Didyk—41115113M. Styranets—1161351
WJun 17 · 04:55A. Didyk—12411113M. Styranets—1011591
LJun 16 · 12:25A. Didyk—31270M. Styranets—1114113
LJun 10 · 07:25A. Didyk—43111152M. Styranets—111192113
LJun 9 · 12:25A. Didyk—9970M. Styranets—1111113
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113WAug 5 · 10:55O. Melnik3.007930M. Styranets1.361111113
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