TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362932
Played Aug 5Finished
Orest Melnik
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911311––––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 76.8% is still 76.8%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
76.8%
76.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 52 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 76.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Orest Melnik 7–11 Myhailo Styranets Orest Melnik has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Styranets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Styranets
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1238 vs Styranets 1359
Styranets
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Styranets 40%
Styranets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 20% vs Styranets 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -1 · Styranets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Styranets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Styranets form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 3.00 / Styranets 1.36
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Styranets)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362932
Melnik3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 35 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Styranets1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it80% 65 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik3wins
AwayStyranets7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStyranets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStyranets87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik2Styranets8n = 10Styranets took 8 of 10
S2Melnik6Styranets4n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S3Melnik3Styranets7n = 10Styranets took 7 of 10
S4Melnik3Styranets4n = 7Styranets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikStyranetsM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.1−3.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 384 vs 123 / 24547.9%50.2%184 / 384 vs 123 / 245Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsMelnik 3.00/Styranets 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.8%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Styranets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 10:55O. Melnik—7930M. Styranets—1111113
LJul 29 · 11:25O. Melnik—711871M. Styranets—11811113
LJul 28 · 16:55O. Melnik—5490M. Styranets—1111113
LJul 15 · 11:25O. Melnik—9201251M. Styranets—111814113
LJul 9 · 05:25O. Melnik—87100M. Styranets—1111123
LJul 8 · 06:25O. Melnik—1011741M. Styranets—12511113
WJul 7 · 13:55O. Melnik—71211113M. Styranets—1110451
WJul 1 · 08:25O. Melnik—11118113M. Styranets—561161
WJun 30 · 14:55O. Melnik—11714123M. Styranets—81112101
LJun 10 · 05:25O. Melnik—7111110112M. Styranets—119312133
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.