TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367462
Played Aug 6Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111151214511––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:22 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 55.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 8–9 Myhailo Styranets Valerii Hel has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Styranets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1304 vs Styranets 1401
Styranets
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 20% vs Styranets 80%
Styranets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 40% vs Styranets 70%
Styranets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel -1 · Styranets +4
Styranets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Styranets) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Styranets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 2.20 / Styranets 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Styranets)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367462
Hel2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Styranets1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 82 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it81% 68 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel3wins
AwayStyranets7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStyranets leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel60%3 of 5
AwayStyranets100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hel2Styranets8n = 10Styranets took 8 of 10
S3Hel5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S4Hel3Styranets3n = 6split evenly
S5Hel2Styranets4n = 6Styranets took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelStyranetsH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.0−0.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 211 vs 127 / 24957.4%51%121 / 211 vs 127 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsHel 2.20/Styranets 1.61
Hit
What we said
64.7%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Styranets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel—99110M. Styranets—1111133
LJul 29 · 07:55V. Hel—81181142M. Styranets—118115113
LJul 28 · 15:55V. Hel—119117112M. Styranets—511411133
LJul 15 · 05:55V. Hel—11771172M. Styranets—611115113
WJul 9 · 11:25V. Hel—1171110113M. Styranets—81151252
WJun 24 · 11:25V. Hel—116129113M. Styranets—311101192
LJun 23 · 17:25V. Hel—9790M. Styranets—1111113
LJun 17 · 11:25V. Hel—48111542M. Styranets—1111713113
WJun 16 · 17:25V. Hel—1111133M. Styranets—73110
LJun 10 · 06:25V. Hel—77150M. Styranets—1111173
V. Hel10
LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381WAug 6 · 15:25V. Hel1.571111113A. Didyk2.257780LAug 6 · 14:25K. Tkachenko1.6711811113V. Hel2.10911891LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel1.57117981S. Kryvoshyi2.2551111113LAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:25S. Kryvoshyi2.201141281V. Hel1.6161114113LAug 5 · 07:25A. Didyk2.6361111113V. Hel1.44117781LAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133WAug 5 · 05:25O. Melnik2.50611121122V. Hel1.50117146113WAug 4 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57811111142V. Hel2.25119138113
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113WAug 5 · 06:25V. Hel2.0099110M. Styranets1.731111133
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