TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367278
Played Aug 6Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811611411––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 68.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 4–12 Myhailo Styranets Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Styranets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Styranets
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1370 vs Styranets 1370
Styranets
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 80% vs Styranets 60%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Styranets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +2 · Styranets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Styranets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 2.63 / Styranets 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Styranets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367278
Kryvoshyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 29 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Styranets1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 82 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it81% 68 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi2wins
AwayStyranets8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStyranets leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStyranets88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi1Styranets9n = 10Styranets took 9 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi5Styranets5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryvoshyi4Styranets6n = 10Styranets took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi2Styranets3n = 5Styranets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiStyranetsK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.137.7−3.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 569 vs 124 / 24647.1%50.4%268 / 569 vs 124 / 246Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsKryvoshyi 2.63/Styranets 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Styranets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 08:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113M. Styranets—5870
WJul 29 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi—81111113M. Styranets—119881
LJul 28 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi—1011791M. Styranets—12911113
LJul 15 · 07:55S. Kryvoshyi—811111072M. Styranets—116912113
LMay 28 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi—1312100M. Styranets—1514123
LMay 27 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi—51181192M. Styranets—117118113
LMay 20 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi—7940M. Styranets—1111113
LMar 31 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi—81280M. Styranets—1114113
LMar 26 · 06:55S. Kryvoshyi—9450M. Styranets—1111113
LMar 25 · 19:25S. Kryvoshyi—9711111M. Styranets—11113133
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113WAug 5 · 10:55O. Melnik3.007930M. Styranets1.361111113
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