TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362466
Played Aug 5Finished
Orest Melnik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311119––––
Roman Bihun
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Bihun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Roman Bihun at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Orest Melnik 2–0 Roman Bihun Roman Bihun has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bihun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1238 vs Bihun 1428
Bihun
Wrong
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Bihun 100%
Bihun
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 20% vs Bihun 90%
Bihun
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -3 · Bihun +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bihun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 2.20 / Bihun 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bihun)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362466
Melnik2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 36 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Bihun1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 13 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMelnik2wins
AwayBihun0wins
Melnik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMelnikBihunM − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.534.0+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 378 vs 54 / 12548.7%43.2%184 / 378 vs 54 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.134.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BihunMelnik 2.20/Bihun 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Bihun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik—1113113R. Bihun—91190
WJul 22 · 05:25O. Melnik—111214113R. Bihun—8101651
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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