TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084121
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117911117––
Roman Bihun
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Prus at 65.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–3 Roman Bihun Roman Bihun has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Prus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Prus
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1468 vs Bihun 1424
Prus
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 80% vs Bihun 60%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 50% vs Bihun 80%
Bihun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +2 · Bihun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.44 / Bihun 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Prus)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084121
Prus1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Bihun2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePrus6wins
AwayBihun3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPrus leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus80%4 of 5
AwayBihun50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus5Bihun4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9
S2Prus5Bihun4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9
S3Prus7Bihun2n = 9Prus took 7 of 9
S4Prus5Bihun2n = 7Prus took 5 of 7
S5Prus1Bihun2n = 3Bihun took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPrusBihunP − BBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match42.736.8+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 408 vs 52 / 11748.3%44.4%197 / 408 vs 52 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 1.44/Bihun 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 4 · 08:25S. Prus—911111192R. Bihun—117137113
WJan 10 · 08:25S. Prus—1181111113R. Bihun—13115592
LNov 16 · 06:55S. Prus—891191R. Bihun—11119113
WSep 14 · 07:25S. Prus—1211113R. Bihun—10780
LAug 29 · 17:55S. Prus—111111982R. Bihun—313911103
WAug 22 · 13:55S. Prus—11129103R. Bihun—8101181
WAug 10 · 05:25S. Prus—14911113R. Bihun—1211951
WJan 19 · 11:25S. Prus—1111113R. Bihun—7680
WJan 3 · 17:55S. Prus—71111113R. Bihun—117761
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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