TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073774
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187111189111210
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 1–0 Volodymyr Kuzmych Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prus 1411 vs Kuzmych 1415
Kuzmych
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 40% vs Kuzmych 20%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 70% vs Kuzmych 50%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -3 · Kuzmych +1
Prus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.00 / Kuzmych 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzmych)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13073774
Prus2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 35 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 34
Kuzmych1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite23% won 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrus1wins
AwayKuzmych0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPrus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPrusKuzmychP − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.048.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 406 vs 30 / 7448.3%40.5%196 / 406 vs 30 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychPrus 2.00/Kuzmych 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus—117119123V. Kuzmych—811811102
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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