TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073947
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811115811––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 3–3 Mykola Slozka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1431 vs Slozka 1516
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 80% vs Slozka 40%
Kuzmych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 50% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych -1 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.83 / Slozka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmych)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073947
Kuzmych1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Slozka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKuzmych3wins
AwaySlozka3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmych2Slozka4n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
S2Kuzmych4Slozka2n = 6Kuzmych took 4 of 6
S3Kuzmych4Slozka2n = 6Kuzmych took 4 of 6
S4Kuzmych2Slozka3n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S5Kuzmych2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKuzmychSlozkaK − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match43.341.7+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 70 vs 334 / 75841.4%44.1%29 / 70 vs 334 / 758Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychKuzmych 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych—881181M. Slozka—11115113
WAug 29 · 04:25V. Kuzmych—7111111113M. Slozka—11813852
LAug 28 · 15:25V. Kuzmych—78111152M. Slozka—111188113
WNov 16 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—1116118113M. Slozka—514131172
WNov 2 · 13:35V. Kuzmych—1111133M. Slozka—74110
LOct 26 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—41111772M. Slozka—118511113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
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