TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037567
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611117811––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 0–1 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1468 vs Dobrovolskyi 1392
Kuzmych
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 80% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Kuzmych
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 50% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Kuzmych
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +4 · Dobrovolskyi -2
Kuzmych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.83 / Dobrovolskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmych)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037567
Kuzmych1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dobrovolskyi1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuzmych0wins
AwayDobrovolskyi1wins
Dobrovolskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKuzmychDobrovolskyiK − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match24.036.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 68 vs 200 / 41342.7%48.4%29 / 68 vs 200 / 413Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychKuzmych 1.83/Dobrovolskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 28 · 13:55V. Kuzmych—61260V. Dobrovolskyi—1114113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142
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