TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051334
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115116––––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 0–1 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Volodymyr Korobko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1434 vs Dobrovolskyi 1402
Korobko
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Korobko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 20% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -2 · Dobrovolskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korobko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.83 / Dobrovolskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Korobko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13051334
Korobko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Dobrovolskyi1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorobko0wins
AwayDobrovolskyi1wins
Dobrovolskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorobkoDobrovolskyiK − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.039.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 474 vs 201 / 41645.6%48.3%216 / 474 vs 201 / 416Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoKorobko 1.83/Dobrovolskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 28 · 24:45V. Korobko—911861V. Dobrovolskyi—11611113
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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