TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055724
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012113118––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 72.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 7–2 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Slozka
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1510 vs Dobrovolskyi 1350
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 20% vs Dobrovolskyi 0%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 50% vs Dobrovolskyi 10%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Dobrovolskyi -5
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.30 / Dobrovolskyi 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Slozka)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055724
Slozka1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 61 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Dobrovolskyi3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 48 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlozka7wins
AwayDobrovolskyi2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%5 of 5
AwayDobrovolskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka5Dobrovolskyi4n = 9Slozka took 5 of 9
S2Slozka7Dobrovolskyi2n = 9Slozka took 7 of 9
S3Slozka7Dobrovolskyi2n = 9Slozka took 7 of 9
S4Slozka3Dobrovolskyi0n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlozkaDobrovolskyiS − DBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match36.728.4+8.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 751 vs 201 / 42343.9%47.5%330 / 751 vs 201 / 423Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.30/Dobrovolskyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka—1111113V. Dobrovolskyi—5510
WAug 29 · 08:25M. Slozka—1111113V. Dobrovolskyi—7460
WAug 28 · 12:25M. Slozka—1111113V. Dobrovolskyi—4880
WAug 27 · 22:15M. Slozka—1111123V. Dobrovolskyi—97100
WAug 2 · 04:55M. Slozka—71311113V. Dobrovolskyi—1111351
LAug 1 · 15:25M. Slozka—1015101162V. Dobrovolskyi—1213124113
WAug 1 · 03:15M. Slozka—561111153V. Dobrovolskyi—111149132
WMar 1 · 05:25M. Slozka—1111123V. Dobrovolskyi—45100
LFeb 7 · 18:25M. Slozka—5790V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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