TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051419
Played Sep 1Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187111181315118
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 77.8%
103 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 3–0 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1549 vs Dobrovolskyi 1382
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Pytsko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Dobrovolskyi 20%
Pytsko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +3 · Dobrovolskyi -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.25 / Dobrovolskyi 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13051419
Pytsko1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite42% won 35 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it65% 28 of 43
Dobrovolskyi3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 48 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePytsko3wins
AwayDobrovolskyi0wins
Pytsko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko2Dobrovolskyi1n = 3Pytsko took 2 of 3
S2Pytsko2Dobrovolskyi1n = 3Pytsko took 2 of 3
S3Pytsko3Dobrovolskyi0n = 3Pytsko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPytskoDobrovolskyiP − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.324.3+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 579 vs 201 / 41855.3%48.1%320 / 579 vs 201 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.25/Dobrovolskyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 14:55I. Pytsko—111111113V. Dobrovolskyi—135641
WAug 28 · 01:43I. Pytsko—11811113V. Dobrovolskyi—811631
WAug 27 · 23:45I. Pytsko—1111113V. Dobrovolskyi—7370
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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