TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073573
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191177111513––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 84 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 63.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 3–6 Oleksandr Storozhenko Ivan Pytsko has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1559 vs Storozhenko 1539
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 20% vs Storozhenko 40%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Storozhenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -2 · Storozhenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 2.38 / Storozhenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073573
Pytsko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Storozhenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 152 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it68% 97 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePytsko3wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytskon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStorozhenko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko1Storozhenko8n = 9Storozhenko took 8 of 9
S2Pytsko5Storozhenko4n = 9Pytsko took 5 of 9
S3Pytsko4Storozhenko5n = 9Storozhenko took 5 of 9
S4Pytsko1Storozhenko3n = 4Storozhenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match31.435.3−3.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 581 vs 239 / 46055.4%52%322 / 581 vs 239 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPytsko 2.38/Storozhenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 5 · 06:35I. Pytsko—8860O. Storozhenko—1111113
LAug 2 · 23:30I. Pytsko—1011111092O. Storozhenko—128812113
WJul 23 · 21:45I. Pytsko—111111123O. Storozhenko—1358101
LJul 18 · 01:45I. Pytsko—5840O. Storozhenko—1111113
WJul 11 · 01:15I. Pytsko—611112113O. Storozhenko—11961182
LJul 9 · 22:15I. Pytsko—5680O. Storozhenko—1111113
LJul 8 · 18:25I. Pytsko—7890O. Storozhenko—1111113
LJul 4 · 06:25I. Pytsko—7111031O. Storozhenko—11312113
WMar 3 · 13:35I. Pytsko—1111113O. Storozhenko—4670
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
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