TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079212
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1175111141715––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 81 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 14–9 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Korobko
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1488 vs Storozhenko 1558
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 50% vs Storozhenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Storozhenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.91 / Storozhenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079212
Korobko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Storozhenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it69% 98 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko8wins
AwayStorozhenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKorobko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko100%7 of 7
AwayStorozhenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko7Storozhenko3n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10
S2Korobko6Storozhenko4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S3Korobko4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Korobko4Storozhenko3n = 7Korobko took 4 of 7
S5Korobko4Storozhenko0n = 4Korobko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoStorozhenkoK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.435.4+6.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 478 vs 241 / 46546%51.8%220 / 478 vs 241 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoKorobko 1.91/Storozhenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko—11511173O. Storozhenko—7114151
WSep 4 · 02:15V. Korobko—1311113O. Storozhenko—11390
WAug 29 · 23:00V. Korobko—117711173O. Storozhenko—711117152
WAug 21 · 24:15V. Korobko—1111113O. Storozhenko—5760
LAug 17 · 23:00V. Korobko—41111101O. Storozhenko—11513123
WAug 10 · 20:30V. Korobko—711119113O. Storozhenko—11781132
WAug 1 · 23:45V. Korobko—111110113O. Storozhenko—451281
WJul 25 · 20:45V. Korobko—121187113O. Storozhenko—107111152
LJul 23 · 20:45V. Korobko—9770O. Storozhenko—1111113
WJul 17 · 20:45V. Korobko—117911113O. Storozhenko—81111712
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
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