TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051624
Played Sep 1Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111171113811––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 61.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 6–2 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Moshovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Moshovskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1527 vs Korobko 1438
Moshovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Korobko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 30% vs Korobko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -3 · Korobko -1
Moshovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Moshovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moshovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.57 / Korobko 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Moshovskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13051624
Moshovskyi1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 66 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Korobko2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi6wins
AwayKorobko2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMoshovskyi leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKorobko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi5Korobko3n = 8Moshovskyi took 5 of 8
S2Moshovskyi5Korobko3n = 8Moshovskyi took 5 of 8
S3Moshovskyi4Korobko4n = 8split evenly
S4Moshovskyi5Korobko3n = 8Moshovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Moshovskyi2Korobko1n = 3Moshovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiKorobkoM − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match45.140.1+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 319 vs 217 / 47655.5%45.6%177 / 319 vs 217 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.934.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoshovskyiMoshovskyi 1.57/Korobko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Moshovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 11 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi—91111113V. Korobko—112781
WAug 4 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi—10111011113V. Korobko—12512592
WJul 26 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi—1113157113V. Korobko—711171182
WJul 21 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi—11213123V. Korobko—91111101
LJul 17 · 22:45V. Moshovskyi—111188122V. Korobko—891111143
WJul 11 · 24:45V. Moshovskyi—101111113V. Korobko—129561
WJun 30 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi—111011113V. Korobko—212981
LApr 21 · 01:00V. Moshovskyi—119781V. Korobko—61111113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113LAug 31 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi2.20817971M. Potapov1.61111511113LAug 31 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi1.83124911122M. Slozka1.831011118143WAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 03:15V. Moshovskyi2.0012117113O. Storozhenko1.731061161
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
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