TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067409
Played Sep 3Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115711118––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 3–4 Ivan Fashchevskyi Volodymyr Korobko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1453 vs Fashchevskyi 1451
Korobko
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 40% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Fashchevskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Fashchevskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.83 / Fashchevskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067409
Korobko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Fashchevskyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKorobko3wins
AwayFashchevskyi4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko75%3 of 4
AwayFashchevskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko4Fashchevskyi3n = 7Korobko took 4 of 7
S2Korobko3Fashchevskyi4n = 7Fashchevskyi took 4 of 7
S3Korobko2Fashchevskyi5n = 7Fashchevskyi took 5 of 7
S4Korobko5Fashchevskyi0n = 5Korobko took 5 of 5
S5Korobko1Fashchevskyi3n = 4Fashchevskyi took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiK − FBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.037.4+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 472 vs 275 / 53945.8%51%216 / 472 vs 275 / 539Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiKorobko 1.83/Fashchevskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 29 · 21:30V. Korobko—81191162I. Fashchevskyi—118113113
LAug 24 · 23:00V. Korobko—51281192I. Fashchevskyi—1110114113
WAug 21 · 01:15V. Korobko—1112113I. Fashchevskyi—61060
LAug 2 · 02:45V. Korobko—5840I. Fashchevskyi—1111113
WJul 24 · 01:15V. Korobko—11911113I. Fashchevskyi—611671
LJun 5 · 02:15V. Korobko—11961192I. Fashchevskyi—511116113
WMar 9 · 22:30V. Korobko—119911113I. Fashchevskyi—71111582
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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