TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067444
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Budnikov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911115114––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Budnikov to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Budnikov above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Budnikov at 58.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Budnikov 1–0 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Budnikov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Budnikov 1504 vs Fashchevskyi 1454
Budnikov
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnikov 60% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnikov 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Budnikov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnikov -2 · Fashchevskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Budnikov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnikov 1.57 / Fashchevskyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Budnikov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067444
Budnikov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Fashchevskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 87 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBudnikov1wins
AwayFashchevskyi0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBudnikov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBudnikovFashchevskyiB − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.040.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnikovFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 552 vs 276 / 54141.3%51%228 / 552 vs 276 / 541Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnikovBudnikov 1.57/Fashchevskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Budnikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Budnikov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 1 · 20:15O. Budnikov—117911113I. Fashchevskyi—81111732
O. Budnikov10
WSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113WSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950LSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133WSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152WSep 4 · 02:45O. Budnikov1.731111113M. Potapov2.004880LSep 4 · 24:45O. Storozhenko1.5711911113O. Budnikov2.25411721LSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110LSep 3 · 21:15O. Budnikov2.10117741Y. Tebenko1.6791111113WAug 29 · 02:15I. Fashchevskyi2.101071961O. Budnikov1.67121117113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181LAug 29 · 02:15I. Fashchevskyi2.101071961O. Budnikov1.67121117113
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