TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074031
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811611––––
Taras Gil
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 65.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 6–9 Taras Gil Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Gil
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1438 vs Gil 1528
Gil
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 60% vs Gil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 50% vs Gil 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi +1 · Gil +3
Gil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.50 / Gil 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Gil)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13074031
Fashchevskyi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 88 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Gil1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi3wins
AwayGil7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
AwayGil100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi1Gil9n = 10Gil took 9 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi2Gil3n = 5Gil took 3 of 5
S5Fashchevskyi2Gil2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiGilF − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.7−3.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiGilBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 549 vs 122 / 21650.8%56.5%279 / 549 vs 122 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilFashchevskyi 2.50/Gil 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi—3860T. Gil—1111113
LAug 9 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—82110T. Gil—1111133
LJul 15 · 18:25I. Fashchevskyi—11611792T. Gil—911611113
WJun 6 · 14:25I. Fashchevskyi—11413113T. Gil—3111131
LMay 3 · 04:55I. Fashchevskyi—9580T. Gil—1111113
LApr 19 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—66110T. Gil—1111133
WJan 31 · 15:55I. Fashchevskyi—119119113T. Gil—91131152
LJan 18 · 06:25I. Fashchevskyi—11920T. Gil—1311113
LJan 17 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi—61111992T. Gil—114511103
WJan 10 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—116611103T. Gil—41111862
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.