TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073751
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111012114117411
Taras Gil
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 58.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 2–3 Taras Gil Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1519 vs Gil 1483
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Gil 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Gil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Gil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.20 / Gil 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Gil)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073751
Sydorchuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 32 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Gil1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayGil3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderGil leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Gil4n = 5Gil took 4 of 5
S2Sydorchuk4Gil1n = 5Sydorchuk took 4 of 5
S3Sydorchuk1Gil4n = 5Gil took 4 of 5
S4Sydorchuk2Gil3n = 5Gil took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSydorchukGilS − GBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match36.640.8−4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukGilBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 282 vs 118 / 21253.9%55.7%152 / 282 vs 118 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilSydorchuk 2.20/Gil 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 18 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk—911511113T. Gil—11911882
LJun 7 · 04:55O. Sydorchuk—711591T. Gil—11811113
LMay 3 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk—1341061T. Gil—111112113
WApr 19 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk—61111113T. Gil—113981
LJan 1 · 17:55O. Sydorchuk—411981T. Gil—11711113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
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