TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079278
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleh Hudyma
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10126111131121012
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Hudyma above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Hudyma 1–1 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sydorchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hudyma 1428 vs Sydorchuk 1486
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudyma 0% vs Sydorchuk 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudyma 10% vs Sydorchuk 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudyma -5 · Sydorchuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudyma 1.83 / Sydorchuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079278
Hudyma1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sydorchuk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHudyma1wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHudymaSydorchukH − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.034.0−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudymaSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 130 vs 153 / 28752.3%53.3%68 / 130 vs 153 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukHudyma 1.83/Sydorchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 18 · 15:55O. Hudyma—11811113O. Sydorchuk—611881
LApr 4 · 14:25O. Hudyma—68110O. Sydorchuk—1111133
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
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