TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451481
Played Aug 18Finished
Oleh Hudyma
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116711911––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Hudyma to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Hudyma above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Hudyma at 56.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Hudyma 6–3 Yurii Parahailo Yurii Parahailo has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hudyma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Hudyma
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudyma 1466 vs Parahailo 1575
Parahailo
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudyma 20% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudyma 10% vs Parahailo 60%
Parahailo
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudyma -4 · Parahailo -1
Hudyma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hudyma) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudyma form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudyma 1.80 / Parahailo 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hudyma)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451481
Hudyma1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 16 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Parahailo1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 71 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHudyma6wins
AwayParahailo3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderHudyma leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudyma83.3%5 of 6
AwayParahailo66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudyma6Parahailo3n = 9Hudyma took 6 of 9
S2Hudyma6Parahailo3n = 9Hudyma took 6 of 9
S3Hudyma5Parahailo4n = 9Hudyma took 5 of 9
S4Hudyma3Parahailo3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHudymaParahailoH − PBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.032.3+4.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudymaParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 131 vs 396 / 80955%49%72 / 131 vs 396 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudymaHudyma 1.80/Parahailo 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hudyma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 11 · 12:05O. Hudyma—10111051Y. Parahailo—12712113
LAug 4 · 12:35O. Hudyma—11211101Y. Parahailo—61113123
WJul 7 · 12:35O. Hudyma—1113113Y. Parahailo—31130
WJul 1 · 08:35O. Hudyma—1111113Y. Parahailo—9770
WJun 23 · 18:05O. Hudyma—81116113Y. Parahailo—1141471
LJan 18 · 13:35O. Hudyma—1181171Y. Parahailo—13117113
WDec 14 · 16:05O. Hudyma—1111113Y. Parahailo—4520
WApr 8 · 17:05O. Hudyma—11112113Y. Parahailo—481171
WFeb 20 · 17:25O. Hudyma—118311113Y. Parahailo—91111892
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
Y. Parahailo10
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo1.831111113O. Storozhenko1.837550WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:35Y. Parahailo2.388790O. Rodin1.531111113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113LAug 30 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.531512117113Y. Parahailo2.38171051162LAug 30 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.2251111123Y. Parahailo4.001198101
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