TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451479
Played Aug 18Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51111810121210117
Oleh Hudyma
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Kovalchuk to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Oleh Hudyma below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vladyslav Kovalchuk at 61.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 8–2 Oleh Hudyma Oleh Hudyma has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kovalchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Kovalchuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalchuk 1585 vs Hudyma 1442
Kovalchuk
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalchuk 60% vs Hudyma 0%
Kovalchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalchuk 50% vs Hudyma 10%
Kovalchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalchuk +3 · Hudyma -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kovalchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudyma form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.50 / Hudyma 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451479
Kovalchuk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 64 of 88
Hudyma2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk8wins
AwayHudyma2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk100%8 of 8
AwayHudyman = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk8Hudyma2n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S2Kovalchuk6Hudyma4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk8Hudyma2n = 10Kovalchuk took 8 of 10
S4Kovalchuk3Hudyma4n = 7Hudyma took 4 of 7
S5Kovalchuk2Hudyma1n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukHudymaK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.134.2+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukHudymaBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 810 vs 72 / 13347.8%54.1%387 / 810 vs 72 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukKovalchuk 1.50/Hudyma 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk—1111113O. Hudyma—8980
WAug 4 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk—1111113O. Hudyma—7470
WMay 18 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk—111111113O. Hudyma—413761
WMar 24 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk—11911113O. Hudyma—611951
WDec 14 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk—1111113O. Hudyma—9980
WMay 27 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk—11911113O. Hudyma—611751
LApr 1 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk—691181O. Hudyma—11116113
WMar 25 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk—111177113O. Hudyma—99111182
LFeb 13 · 18:55V. Kovalchuk—51211792O. Hudyma—1110711113
WJan 30 · 15:25V. Kovalchuk—1111115113O. Hudyma—86131182
V. Kovalchuk10
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113LAug 24 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.101111133V. Kovalchuk1.6764110WAug 24 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.911511113O. Storozhenko1.8013660LAug 23 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk2.001014581Y. Vorsuliak1.73121211113WAug 23 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.738940V. Kovalchuk2.001111113LAug 23 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.38111011872Y. Parahailo1.53612811113LAug 23 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.106111012113V. Kovalchuk1.67118121032WAug 23 · 12:35V. Kovalchuk2.3811411113O. Rodin1.53311721
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
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