TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481315
Played Aug 23Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121412511811––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 33–45 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 33 of their 78 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 2.00 / Vorsuliak 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorsuliak)-7.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12481315
Kovalchuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 116 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Vorsuliak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 62 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk3wins
AwayVorsuliak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk40%2 of 5
AwayVorsuliak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S2Kovalchuk6Vorsuliak4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S4Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak7n = 9Vorsuliak took 7 of 9
S5Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak1n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukVorsuliakK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.0−4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 825 vs 445 / 88848.2%50.1%398 / 825 vs 445 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukKovalchuk 2.00/Vorsuliak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk—711118113Y. Vorsuliak—11991182
LAug 17 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk—159681Y. Vorsuliak—131111113
WAug 16 · 01:38V. Kovalchuk—117711113Y. Vorsuliak—91111872
LAug 15 · 22:00V. Kovalchuk—5111081Y. Vorsuliak—11912113
LJul 13 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk—912791Y. Vorsuliak—111011113
LJul 12 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk—1110751Y. Vorsuliak—81211113
LJun 22 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk—811814102Y. Vorsuliak—1191112123
WJun 21 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk—1111123Y. Vorsuliak—55100
LJun 20 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk—1185101Y. Vorsuliak—91111123
LJun 15 · 04:35V. Kovalchuk—8114111Y. Vorsuliak—11911133
V. Kovalchuk10
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113LAug 24 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.101111133V. Kovalchuk1.6764110WAug 24 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.911511113O. Storozhenko1.8013660WAug 23 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.738940V. Kovalchuk2.001111113LAug 23 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.38111011872Y. Parahailo1.53612811113LAug 23 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.106111012113V. Kovalchuk1.67118121032WAug 23 · 12:35V. Kovalchuk2.3811411113O. Rodin1.53311721WAug 23 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk1.83111111113O. Storozhenko1.83781391
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 23 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.738940V. Kovalchuk2.001111113
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