TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12479786
Played Aug 23Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113411117112––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
113411117112––
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 5–11 Oleksii Rodin Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 2.38 / Rodin 1.53
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Rodin)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12479786
Kovalchuk2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 116 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Rodin1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 131 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk4wins
AwayRodin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRodin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk50%2 of 4
AwayRodin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S4Kovalchuk3Rodin4n = 7Rodin took 4 of 7
S5Kovalchuk2Rodin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukRodinK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.5−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 820 vs 155 / 25048.2%62%395 / 820 vs 155 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinKovalchuk 2.38/Rodin 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk—116119113O. Rodin—51151172
LAug 17 · 06:35V. Kovalchuk—4950O. Rodin—1111113
WAug 15 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk—712811123O. Rodin—1110119102
WAug 10 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk—111011113O. Rodin—812661
LAug 9 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk—6860O. Rodin—1111113
LAug 1 · 21:30V. Kovalchuk—851251O. Rodin—111110113
LJul 29 · 05:05V. Kovalchuk—12690O. Rodin—1411113
WJul 28 · 12:05V. Kovalchuk—51113113O. Rodin—1191161
LJul 27 · 20:00V. Kovalchuk—13117572O. Rodin—1191111113
LJul 25 · 22:15V. Kovalchuk—111110952O. Rodin—861211113
V. Kovalchuk10
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113LAug 24 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.101111133V. Kovalchuk1.6764110WAug 24 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.911511113O. Storozhenko1.8013660LAug 23 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk2.001014581Y. Vorsuliak1.73121211113WAug 23 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.738940V. Kovalchuk2.001111113LAug 23 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.38111011872Y. Parahailo1.53612811113LAug 23 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.106111012113V. Kovalchuk1.67118121032WAug 23 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk1.83111111113O. Storozhenko1.83781391
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113
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