TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084416
Played Sep 6Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113114––––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 46 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 58.5%
46 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 2–1 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1669 vs Rodin 1624
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Rodin 80%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Rodin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +2 · Rodin +3
Rodin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.61 / Rodin 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084416
Hrekh1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 169 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it78% 131 of 169
Rodin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 28 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHrekh2wins
AwayRodin1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHrekh leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayRodin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh0Rodin3n = 3Rodin took 3 of 3
S2Hrekh3Rodin0n = 3Hrekh took 3 of 3
S3Hrekh2Rodin1n = 3Hrekh took 2 of 3
S4Hrekh3Rodin0n = 3Hrekh took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrekhRodinH − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match43.337.0+6.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 504 vs 172 / 28851.4%59.7%259 / 504 vs 172 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.61/Rodin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 04:35I. Hrekh—101111113O. Rodin—126391
LAug 27 · 12:05I. Hrekh—81191192O. Rodin—117119113
WAug 26 · 20:00I. Hrekh—61111113O. Rodin—118851
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
O. Rodin10
LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631WSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.4413441182O. Rodin2.631111119113LSep 3 · 14:05O. Rodin1.8011119862Y. Vorsuliak1.91371111113
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