TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067397
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113117911811611
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 6–7 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Oleksii Rodin has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1549 vs Vorsuliak 1601
Vorsuliak
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 40% vs Vorsuliak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 40% vs Vorsuliak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin -2 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 1.80 / Vorsuliak 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067397
Rodin1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 141 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 96 of 120
Vorsuliak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRodin5wins
AwayVorsuliak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRodinn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVorsuliak62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rodin2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S2Rodin5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Rodin7Vorsuliak3n = 10Rodin took 7 of 10
S4Rodin2Vorsuliak6n = 8Vorsuliak took 6 of 8
S5Rodin4Vorsuliak1n = 5Rodin took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRodinVorsuliakR − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.4+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 282 vs 443 / 88159.6%50.3%168 / 282 vs 443 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakRodin 1.80/Vorsuliak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:05O. Rodin—1011116113Y. Vorsuliak—12871192
LAug 27 · 17:35O. Rodin—51040Y. Vorsuliak—1112113
LAug 27 · 01:30O. Rodin—811851Y. Vorsuliak—11711113
LAug 24 · 10:05O. Rodin—5911101Y. Vorsuliak—11119123
WAug 23 · 14:05O. Rodin—11101111113Y. Vorsuliak—13125512
LAug 23 · 03:00O. Rodin—1151151Y. Vorsuliak—13118113
WAug 17 · 09:43O. Rodin—871111113Y. Vorsuliak—11114592
WAug 17 · 08:35O. Rodin—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10660
LAug 16 · 16:05O. Rodin—81111892Y. Vorsuliak—117311113
WAug 16 · 01:30O. Rodin—131159113Y. Vorsuliak—117111162
O. Rodin10
LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631WSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.4413441182O. Rodin2.631111119113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111
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