TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067559
Played Sep 3Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311411411119811
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 63.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 2–1 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1665 vs Rodin 1540
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Rodin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Rodin 40%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -2 · Rodin -3
Rodin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.44 / Rodin 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Hrekh)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067559
Hrekh1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 167 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it96% 92 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it79% 129 of 163
Rodin2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 26 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHrekh2wins
AwayRodin1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHrekh leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayRodin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh0Rodin3n = 3Rodin took 3 of 3
S2Hrekh3Rodin0n = 3Hrekh took 3 of 3
S3Hrekh2Rodin1n = 3Hrekh took 2 of 3
S4Hrekh3Rodin0n = 3Hrekh took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrekhRodinH − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match43.337.0+6.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 494 vs 168 / 28351.4%59.4%254 / 494 vs 168 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.44/Rodin 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 04:35I. Hrekh—101111113O. Rodin—126391
LAug 27 · 12:05I. Hrekh—81191192O. Rodin—117119113
WAug 26 · 20:00I. Hrekh—61111113O. Rodin—118851
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.