TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072948
Played Sep 4Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113811––––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 14–18 Andrii Romanenko Iurii Hrekh has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-18 in 32
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1634 vs Romanenko 1677
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -1 · Romanenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.80 / Romanenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrekh)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13072948
Hrekh1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 169 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it78% 131 of 169
Romanenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 78 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayRomanenko6wins
Romanenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh75%3 of 4
AwayRomanenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrekh3Romanenko7n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrekh3Romanenko7n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh3Romanenko1n = 4Hrekh took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhRomanenkoH − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.433.5−3.1per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 502 vs 283 / 52851.2%53.6%257 / 502 vs 283 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.80/Romanenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh—71180A. Romanenko—1113113
LSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh—1581281A. Romanenko—131114113
WSep 2 · 23:00I. Hrekh—101111113A. Romanenko—128921
LAug 30 · 20:15I. Hrekh—4970A. Romanenko—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:05I. Hrekh—1211113A. Romanenko—10570
WAug 19 · 15:05I. Hrekh—11911113A. Romanenko—311691
LAug 8 · 23:15I. Hrekh—4390A. Romanenko—1111113
WAug 6 · 10:35I. Hrekh—14118113A. Romanenko—1261181
LAug 5 · 15:05I. Hrekh—4690A. Romanenko—1111113
LAug 4 · 23:00I. Hrekh—9440A. Romanenko—1111113
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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