TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067666
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611711118911
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 60.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 3–1 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Romanenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Romanenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1688 vs Vorsuliak 1598
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 80% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Romanenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 70% vs Vorsuliak 50%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +3 · Vorsuliak -1
Romanenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 1.50 / Vorsuliak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Romanenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067666
Romanenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 135 of 169
Vorsuliak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwayVorsuliak1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderRomanenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko75%3 of 4
AwayVorsuliakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Vorsuliak0n = 4Romanenko took 4 of 4
S2Romanenko2Vorsuliak2n = 4split evenly
S3Romanenko3Vorsuliak1n = 4Romanenko took 3 of 4
S4Romanenko2Vorsuliak1n = 3Romanenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricRomanenkoVorsuliakR − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match38.836.0+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 521 vs 444 / 88353.6%50.3%279 / 521 vs 444 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoRomanenko 1.50/Vorsuliak 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMar 6 · 07:35A. Romanenko—11911123Y. Vorsuliak—9118101
WMar 5 · 14:35A. Romanenko—11126123Y. Vorsuliak—51011101
LMar 5 · 24:30A. Romanenko—11311852Y. Vorsuliak—911911113
WFeb 27 · 09:35A. Romanenko—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—5680
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171
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