TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067657
Played Sep 3Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198116111181113
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 63.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 1–3 Andrii Romanenko Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1597 vs Romanenko 1680
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 100% vs Romanenko 60%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 60% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi +5 · Romanenko +2
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.38 / Romanenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Romanenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067657
Shchegelskyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Romanenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 135 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi1wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderRomanenko leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Shchegelskyi1Romanenko3n = 4Romanenko took 3 of 4
S3Shchegelskyi2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Shchegelskyi2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
S5Shchegelskyi1Romanenko2n = 3Romanenko took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.845.8−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 887 vs 278 / 52053.2%53.5%472 / 887 vs 278 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoShchegelskyi 2.38/Romanenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi—711381A. Romanenko—11911113
LMay 19 · 24:45D. Shchegelskyi—11761292A. Romanenko—9111110113
LMar 5 · 04:00D. Shchegelskyi—119119112A. Romanenko—411311133
WFeb 23 · 12:35D. Shchegelskyi—981111113A. Romanenko—11119792
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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