TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072943
Played Sep 4Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 65.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 6–23 Andrii Romanenko Myroslav Loboda has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-23 in 29
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 17 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1673 vs Romanenko 1644
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -1 · Romanenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 2.75 / Romanenko 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Romanenko)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13072943
Loboda2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 90 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Romanenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 178 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it80% 136 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda3wins
AwayRomanenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRomanenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda2Romanenko8n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S2Loboda5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Loboda3Romanenko7n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S4Loboda1Romanenko6n = 7Romanenko took 6 of 7
S5Loboda3Romanenko1n = 4Loboda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaRomanenkoL − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.043.1−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 940 vs 279 / 52351.7%53.4%486 / 940 vs 279 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoLoboda 2.75/Romanenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda—6101161A. Romanenko—11123113
LSep 3 · 01:00M. Loboda—7380A. Romanenko—1111113
WAug 31 · 24:15M. Loboda—121895133A. Romanenko—10161111112
LAug 2 · 21:45M. Loboda—771251A. Romanenko—111110113
LJul 26 · 23:15M. Loboda—9118101A. Romanenko—11511123
LJul 20 · 24:15M. Loboda—81151222A. Romanenko—1161110113
WJul 18 · 23:15M. Loboda—1214109173A. Romanenko—10121211152
LMay 25 · 22:45M. Loboda—55100A. Romanenko—1111123
LMay 21 · 16:05M. Loboda—8590A. Romanenko—1111113
WMay 21 · 02:00M. Loboda—1012117113A. Romanenko—121021192
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113LSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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